This has been a fascinating Premier League campaign thus far, and with only a handful of matchdays left, every remaining fixture for teams at the top and bottom of the table matters even more.
Here are some EPL end-of-season bets to make for the conclusion of the 2021/22 campaign.
Tottenham to finish in the top four: +150
Spurs have had an up and down season with Antonio Conte now at the helm, and they currently sit just one spot out of Champions League position for the upcoming European campaign.
With Tottenham’s recent, uninspiring nil-nil draw at Brentford, an Arsenal stunning back-to-back victories versus Chelsea and Manchester United, Spurs sit two points back of Arsenal for the fourth position with five matches remaining.
Liverpool and City are competing for the title, and Chelsea is firmly in third place, London’s biggest game since Eden Hazard ended Tottenham’s dream of a title, may come May 12th, when the Gunners travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Tottenham is behind Arsenal, which is why they’re plus money, and they have a match at Liverpool just five days before the Arsenal game to tend to.
But, their other three matches are versus Leicester, two matches to close the season against Burnley, and away at Norwich, two button-tier sides who shouldn’t pose much trouble.
Burnley will likely be playing their hearts out to stay in the league, but Norwich will have been well relegated by then, and playing for nothing.
Arsenal has some interesting matchups in the span though, as they travel to West Ham and a hot Newcastle, and they host Leeds. All those teams can be electric and can stop Arsenal in their path back to Europe. The final matchday features Arsenal at home to Everton, who may desperately need points if they want to salvage their worst season in the club’s Premier League history.
Betting on Spurs here is betting on them to defeat Arsenal. When it comes down to it, the experience of Spurs and Conte should take over in London, and Arsenal will be back to the Europa League to compete for Europe’s second trophy.
Manchester City to win the league: -225
It’s not great value, because Liverpool is plus money, needing City to drop just one point to take the lead in the title race. But, Pep has seemingly woken up his team to the possibility of losing the race to the top, as they’ve been performing much better as of late, and they’ve rediscovered their ruthlessness in front of goal.
I truly believe City will win their remaining five matches, and win the league again, on 95 points. Their most difficult match will be an away game at Wolverhampton Wanderers, which is yet to be rescheduled. Away at West Ham may also pose a problem, but if West Ham continues in Europe, their players may be just as exhausted as City’s without having nearly as much depth.
Newcastle, Villa, and Leeds should be rather straightforward for City as well.
Liverpool also will handle Newcastle and Villa, with a match vs Wolves at home to tend to as well as a home game versus perennial midtable Southampton. The reason they may lose this race is because of their match on May 7th versus Tottenham. Spurs need points, and they can pull out a top-class performance at any time.
The extra FA Cup Final that Jurgen Klopp surely wants to win to do the Cup final double over Chelsea may also cause some extra injury and exhaustion knicks along the way.
Everton to get relegated: -110
For the first time this season, Everton are actually favorites to get relegated after their 2-0 loss to Liverpool coupled with Burnley’s surprise winning performance vs Wolves. Seven points from their last nine, and Burnley looks like a whole new team after the sacking of longtime manager Sean Dyche.
Right now we see that Norwich and Watford have all but guaranteed their demotion, and we’re left with three teams fighting for survival.
Leeds sit in 16th on 33pts, Burnley on 32pts, and Everton on 29pts. Both Everton and Leeds sit a game in hand over Burnley, with six matches remaining to pick up points instead of just five.
Leeds at +450 may be a steal for value, but they’re playing very well right now. They have an insanely difficult end-of-season schedule, with matches against Chelsea, Manchester City, and Arsenal all in a row.
Their other matches though versus CP, Brighton, and Brentford should be a bit easier to grab points in, especially as the midtable teams slow things down towards the end of the season to try out some new things in tactics. Four points clear should be enough considering the lack of points from this trio of teams this season.
Because of this I limited it down to Burnley v Everton and decided that Everton actually had the more difficult run to safety.
In six games, Everton must face Chelsea and Leicester back to back, followed by a must-win game at Watford. Then they play Brentford and Crystal Palace at home, two teams that can be frustrating in away matches.
The nail in the coffin might end up being May 22nd, Matchday 38, against fellow never relegated Premier League club Arsenal. The Gunners will most likely be playing for a European position and need maximum points to reach their desired prize.
Everton has been uninspiring and seems to have the wrong matches at the wrong times. They’ll go down, and bring a sea of desperate Toffee supporters along with them.